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The coronavirus has hit the world hard, affecting more than 13 million people and causing more than 580,000 deaths. In the face of the pandemic, the global economy has been hit hard and some countries have chosen to begin deconfining, with rough control of the spread of the disease. Caution remains however in order because the virus is still present and a new wave of the disease is to be expected. Consider the worst: new report from British scientists worries A report, commissioned by the UK's chief scientific adviser, Sir Patrick Vallance, warns that a second wave of Covid-19 is expected for the next winter. To note that the report entitled " Prepare for a difficult winter 2020/2021 " was commissioned to model a scenario " reasonable Worst-case scenario. Most alarming about this news is that this new wave could be more devastating than the initial wave which affected nearly 300,000 people and caused more than 40,000 deaths in the UK. The report therefore warned that mitigation measures must be taken now to offset the risk of a second, more deadly wave, the peak of which is to be expected for the first two months of 2021. According to the report published by the 'Academy of Medical Sciences, this second peak could be more severe than the first, with a reproduction rate R0 dropping to 1.7 from September. For comparison, the R0 in the UK currently ranges from 0.7 to 0.9. The 37 scientists and academics behind the report said the peak is expected to cause between 24,500 and 251,000 coronavirus-related deaths. Note that these figures do not take into account the use of a potential treatment or vaccine, or the reinstatement of containment measures. It also excludes deaths in nursing homes. Faced with these alarming new data, scientists have also warned that this situation is avoidable if measures are taken immediately to avoid the worst. Indeed, the advisory group of theAcademy of Medical Sciences stressed that intense preparation is absolutely urgently needed during the months of July and August to reduce the risk of the overflow of the National Health Service (NHS) for next winter. - Kiryl Lis / Shutterstock.com An alarming, but preventable scenario Either way, the Professor Stephen Holgate, respiratory specialist at Southampton University Hospital, who chaired the report, said: “ This is not a prediction - but it is a possibility. “It was nevertheless specified that the risks are quite high. " Deaths could be higher with a new wave of Covid-19 this winter, but the risk of that happening could be reduced if we take action immediately ", did he declare in a press release. In addition, the co-author of the report, the professor Dame Anne Johnson, said : " This report shows that we can act now to change things for the better. In response to his warnings, British authorities claimed that plans were already underway to deal with a second wave of the Covid-19 pandemic. " We remain vigilant and the government will ensure that the necessary resources are in place to avoid a second peak that would overwhelm our hospitals The government said in a statement.

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